My ‘Genius’ picks….April 5th, 2010 by Eric Kesselman in Player Discussion, Prediction, Trash Talk
Gimps are in first place!
Yeah ok, so we're only halfway through the first full day of the season. My motto is : Always take every possible opportunity to gloat. You never know when such an opportunity may came again!
Having completed my second and last auction of the year, I thought it would be interesting to post my 'genius' picks. These are the guys who I was prepared to pay over the market value/consensus projections for. If I win, these are the guys I think my upside will likely come from. Given all the debate going on about genius v agnostic picks, I thought it'd be interesting to have people declare which are the players they expect their biggest earnings to come from. There should be little harm in disclosing at this point, since I'm not likely to want to trade anyone I'm valuing well over their market trade value anyway. I'm going to go out on a limb and say I expect this group to earn me $45 more than I paid.
My 'genius calls:
I was extremely confident I was going to own the guys in my genius pool. That's not to say I didn't have numbers for them, but I was very confident that my numbers were well above the market's valuations. I decided to really focus on offense in my other league, but I still landed all these players except for King Felix. So I've got a lot of eggs in this basket and I feel good about it. On the flip side, the top 4 of these guys really didn't cost all that much. I've left myself room to be wrong and come up with a plan B. I feel I've given myself a strong position, while still preserving some flexibility if everything goes to hell.
If anyone else wants to get some predictions on the tape, now is the time!
Chris, I know I owe you some responses but I promised Bill I'd let him respond first. I think he's got a lengthy series of responses coming. Hopefully he isn't building a model to help craft his answers!